Welcome to the Hotline’s fearless forecasts for Pac-12 men’s basketball as conference play ramps up.
Here we go …
NCAA Tournament bids: Arizona and Colorado
The Wildcats are the best team in the conference and a lock for March Madness; the only question is whether they nail down a No. 1 seed. Most of the remaining teams have removed themselves from consideration with subpar showings in non-conference play. A precious few are on the NCAA bubble and must navigate 20 league games, plus the Pac-12 tournament, without accruing too many bad losses. Colorado is better equipped for that task than Utah, which is better positioned than either USC or Washington.
Player of the Year: Colorado’s KJ Simpson
An all-conference selection last season, the junior has upgraded his all-around play: He’s averaging 19.9 points, 4.5 assists, 4.5 rebounds and shooting a tick under 50 percent from 3-point range. Those are All-American numbers for a point guard who means more to the Buffaloes than any single Arizona player means to the Wildcats.
Coach of the Year: Utah’s Craig Smith
The third-year coach has the Utes on a clear upward trajectory. After winning 11 games in his first season and improving to 17 last winter, Smith is on pace for at least 20 — plus a potential NCAA berth. Picked seventh in the preseason media poll, the Utes should beat that projection by two or three slots. We also considered Colorado’s Tad Boyle, Washington’s Mike Hopkins and Arizona’s Tommy Lloyd.
Freshman of the Year: USC’s Isaiah Collier
The top-rated recruit in the country has been as good as advertised, averaging 16.1 points and 4.3 assists per game. If Collier’s 3-point shooting improves (currently: 30.3 percent), the 6-foot-5 point guard just might help the struggling Trojans sneak into the NCAA Tournament in what should be his only collegiate season. We also considered UCLA guard Sebastian Mack and Colorado wing Cody Williams, another likely lottery pick.
Defensive Player of the Year: USC’s Joshua Morgan
The 6-11 senior is fifth in the country and first in the conference with 2.73 blocks per game. (Nobody in the Pac-12 is close.) Exception length and timing allow Morgan to impact shots even when he’s not deflecting them. Morgan was an all-defensive team selection last year but didn’t win the DPOY award because of UCLA’s masterful Jaylen Clark. This season, it’s his turn.
Our picks for the various all-conference teams …
— All-conference
First team
G: Colorado’s KJ Simpson
G: Arizona’s Caleb Love
G: USC’s Boogie Ellis
F: Washington Keion Brooks
F: Utah’s Branden Carlson
Second team
G: UCLA G Sebastian Mack
G: Oregon State’s Jordan Pope
F: Arizona’s Keshad Johnson
F: Colorado’s Tristan da Silva
F: Cal’s Fardaws Aimaq
— All freshman
G: USC’s Isaiah Collier
G: UCLA’s Sebastain Mack
G: WSU’s Myles Rice
G: Stanford’s Andrej Stojakovic
F: Colorado’s Cody Williams
— All defense
G: Arizona State’s Frankie Collins
G: USC’s Kobe Johnson
F: USC’s Joshua Morgan
F: UCLA’s Adem Bona
C: Arizona’s Oumar Ballo
— All-transfer
G: Washington’s Sahvir Wheeler (from Kentucky)
G: Arizona’s Caleb Love (North Carolina)
F: Arizona’s Keshad Johnson (San Diego State)
F: Cal’s Fardaws Aimaq (Texas Tech)
F: WSU’s Isaac Jones (Idaho)
Related Articles
Pac-12 WBB preview: UCLA, Stanford to top conference as others loom
Pac-12 FB recruiting: Winners, losers from the early signing window
Pac-12 MBB preview: Arizona on top; Colorado, USC, Utah fight for March
Mailbag: FSU’s push to leave ACC underscores risk for Stanford, Cal
Pac-12 lawsuit: WSU, OSU reach settlement with 10 departing members
*** Send suggestions, comments and tips (confidentiality guaranteed) to [email protected] or call 408-920-5716
*** Follow me on Twitter: @WilnerHotline
*** Pac-12 Hotline is not endorsed or sponsored by the Pac-12 Conference, and the views expressed herein do not necessarily reflect the views of the Conference.
